Los Angeles, April 9, 2025
Dear Geert,
Writing to friends in Europe to explain what’s going on in the United States in the Spring of 2025 is like taking notes on a mental patient to feed to an AI therapist. One can’t capture everything, and there’s no certainty that any diagnoses will be either forthcoming or accurate. In fact, the AI therapist may exacerbate the condition via a reflexive repetition that confirms confirmation bias. Such is the nature of the vortex in which we find ourselves. Since my last letter, the news has been dominated by first the Signal scandal (I refuse to default to calling every disgrace in Washington “Something-gate”) and then the tariff nightmare that Trump labelled “Liberation Day” for the American economy.
There are so many reasons the Signal chat was front and center in the media. First, and perhaps most importantly, because it’s a perfectly solipsistic story about the media itself: a journalist is inadvertently added to a discussion about an ongoing operation held by people at the highest levels of the American security infrastructure on an insecure messaging app. Not only that, but the journalist is someone Trump and his minions particularly loathe. Jeffrey Goldberg is the editor of The Atlantic magazine and one of his big successes was a well-sourced story about how the flag-hugging president holds actual soldiers in contempt, calling them “losers” and “suckers.” The media has already gone over the obvious issues in the Signal scandal at endless length—just the use of a commercial app to discuss a military action in Yemen is a first order security breach—but what they missed is how this whole fiasco demonstrates the vainglory of the US’s new, looksmaxxing ruling class.
Looksmaxxing is a triumph of Internet mindfuckery. Young on-line men now have a vocabulary and set of products and procedures that mimic the beauty regimes that women have been subjected to for, well, millennia. Looksmaxxers obsess about the angles (canthal tilt) and the interpupillary distance (IDP) between their eyes. They do “soft” interventions like targeted work outs, cosmetic tweaks, and “mewing” (tongue exercises to shift the shape of the jaw). “Hard,” i.e. surgical, interventions, are the next logical step. To scroll through looksmaxxing TikTok and Reddit forums is to enter a dreamworld that blends “Real Housewives of Beverly Hills” plasticity with Incel insecurities.
There’s an unseriousness to looksmaxxing that belies its brutal impact on those it ensnares, and it could only exist amongst the terminally online who are desperate for the approval of those equally under its spell. The idea of using a commercial messaging app to discuss war plans made more sense to me when I started to think of their group chat as a more grown-up but just as unserious version of looksmaxxing that I’ll call cloutmaxxing, a way to signal power. The chat concerned airstikes on Houthi militias, but in the end it was less about communication than it was about vice signaling, a way to demonstrate prowess. The people on this chat were no longer marginal figures. Rising from being rank-and-file members of Congress, keyboard warriors, or TV talking heads, they now have jobs with real real badass credentials. Yet the Signal scandal demonstrates that they are sad little Virgins with new haircuts masquerading as Alpha male Chads (I feel sorry for you if you recognize all this manosphere language— if you don’t, stay away from Wikipedia, you’ll just feel worse at the end).
Hence the now infamous fist/flag/fire triptych emoji that Mike Waltz, the US National Security Advisor, sent to the others in this chat, including the Vice President of the United States and the Secretary of Defense. On Signal, Waltz was cloutmaxxing, emulating the bravado of teenage boys shitposting about their campaigns on Overwatch 2 or Call of Duty: Black Ops 6. Waltz’s triptych signals performative rather than actual competence. To looksmax the part is to cloutmax the script, and what we’re seeing here is the Dunning-Kruger effect of overconfidence meeting the inevitable bubbling-up of imposter syndrome, all subsumed into a cultural battle against what Elon Musk called “civilizational suicidal empathy.”
One of the key figures in this chat was the even more over his head Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth. Hegseth has been looks- and cloutmaxxing since his college days at Princeton. He may have been righteously accused of being a drunk, a sexual abuser, and an Islamophobe, but these are all signals to the MAGA faithful that he’s not restrained by wokeness (or much afflicted by empathy either). Even his on-record mismanagement of tiny veterans’ organizations did not disqualify him from taking over the largest bureaucracy in the world (and its most powerful military) because Hegseth looks the part. He was a host on a Fox News weekend show, and his belligerence to liberals, women, and trans people was amplified by a rugged jawline and suits cut to looksmax his fitness. Rather than a mea culpa after this security breach, the next day Hegseth ditched his American flag-lined suit jacket for a tee shirt to work out with Navy Seals, a sartorial choice that allowed him to show off his guns (tattooed biceps rather than actual armaments). The red-pilled pathos of all of this maxxing would be funnier if these weren’t men who can casually call in lethal strikes virtually anywhere in the world, from Greenland to the Heard & McDonald islands.
Greenland, of course, is now part of Trump’s Greater America project, a return to 19th century territorial aggression, and a place that Europeans understand full well is actually in danger. Heard & McDonald may require a bit more explanation for all but the most news-addicted amongst us. They are two small islands 2,500 miles from Australia inhabited exclusively by penguins. The US is not looking to clobber these flightless birds with its elite Seals (“America’s enemies fear them—our allies trust them” posted Hegseth after his workout) but rather to hit them with tariffs. That there is neither trade nor even human beings on the islands did not prevent the Trump administration from lumping this territory in with everywhere else in the world on Liberation Day.
Donald Trump has no consistent ideology, and few ideals, but one idea that has stuck with him for years is that “they’re ripping us off”: “they” being the rest of the globe and “us” being the US. Trump is a serial grifter as well as being a projector of his own vices so it makes sense that he sees trade as a zero-sum rather than expansive process, with winners and losers rather than partners. So, in early April, against the advice of almost every reputable economist, and every historian with the slightest acquaintance with the effects of the Smoot-Hawley tariffs of the 1930s (hint, they contributed greatly to the Great Depression), he instituted an incoherent strategy that wiped out trillions in wealth as he single-handedly tanked stock markets around the world. Trump and his sycophants justified his actions with multiple and contradictory justifications: the tariffs would be kept in perpetuity, they were a negotiating tool, they would be paid for by other countries, they would be a short and painful readjustment that Americans would have to live with, they would improve America’s industrial might, they would address the crisis of masculinity by bringing back high-wage working class jobs, the list goes on and shifts every few hours or so.
There’s even a new, vaguely left conspiracy theory that Trump wants to destroy the American economy in order to consolidate power in the ruins, but that seems like too much intellectual work for him to have planned. In my last letter, I warned you not to underestimate Trump as stupid, but I certainly didn’t mean for you or anyone to buy the ridiculous canard that Trump plays three-dimensional chess. He and his administration in its second iteration are driven by traditional right-wing compulsions – lowering taxes on the rich, reducing services for the poor, and making sure women know their place. Add in anti-immigrant populism, anti-trans scapegoating, racist dog whistles and bullhorns, and a fully activated attack on reason and its defenders in science, academia and what remains of the civil service, and you have Trumpism. But to fully understand how it was sustained and grew, you have to understand its dynastic origins.
Trump is the heir to a vicious fortune. The New York Times estimated Donald inherited the contemporary equivalent of four hundred million dollars from his father Fred Trump. The elder Trump was a developer during the post-WWII era when public funds were made available to build the closest that the US ever got to social housing. Fred mastered the dark arts of Gotham development in that period: buy off politicians, grift from public funds, make deals with gangsters, stiff contractors, and rent to as few people of color as you can get away with. Donald the heir added in a gambler’s temperament and showy style to his father’s stolid villainy. But, of course, inveterate gamblers lose and when they do, they lose big.
Those of us who have been watching Donald for decades wondered how people could vote for a person who has gone through six bankruptcies and who couldn’t even make money in the casino business, but we underestimated how television recast this failson as the business hero of his own imagination. See the fin-de-siècle trilogy he didn’t write (of course an ADHD-addled heir needed ghost-writers) but that bears his name — Trump: The Art of the Deal (1987); Trump: Surviving at the Top (1990); and Trump: The Art of the Comeback (1997) — which traces his (imaginary) parabolic career. These books were bestsellers, and inspired T.V. producer Mark Burnett to build a reality competition show around him which Burnett called The Apprentice, which bailed Trump out of his post-casino financial crisis.
There is a subset of gamblers that have enough backing to survive their inner demons and outer losing streaks, and Trump during his political career certainly falls into that category. His return to the tables leaves both the country and the world exposed to Trump’s only driving force right now, which is to wreak revenge on his enemies and continue to accrue as much power as possible, if only to be able to humiliate any and all who do not join his cult. For just shy of a hundred days, his luck has held, but as the American poet Bret Harte wrote, “The only sure thing about luck is that it will change.” All of this leaves me fearing for the future, not only because of what Trump controls, but even more so because of what he doesn’t.
When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7th, 2023 they were able to succeed because by October 6th, the Israeli intelligence services, like the security forces and the judiciary, had been locked in conflict with Benjamin Netanyahu, a leader who had to stay in power to stay out of jail. Economists speak of October 29th, 1929 as Black Tuesday, the start of the bear market that led to the Great Depression, but Monday, October 28th was like any other day in the Roaring ‘20s, with unregulated markets and endless speculation. On the 27th of June 1914, the multicultural Austro-Hungarian milieu Joseph Roth wrote of in The Radetzky March seemed impregnable. The next day, Franz Ferdinand was assassinated, and that ended not only the Archduke’s life but also the society Roth evoked so carefully. As for the world war, Roth wrote it “could clearly be seen coming, as one might see a storm brewing over the edge of a city, while its streets are still basking innocently under a cloudless sky.”
The brilliant Roth was a nostalgist and melancholic, and I hope I am neither, but as I watch the United States abandon its allies, insult its friends, and feast on its seed corn, what most worries me is that we are somehow in an extended day before. The luck cannot hold, and the sheer meanness of it all makes the solidarity to resist that much harder to generate. That the day before keeps recurring, doesn’t imply that the day after won’t finally arrive, and that’s what scares me.
Yours—
Peter
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Peter Lunenfeld lives in California. His most recent book is City at the Edge of Forever: Los Angeles Reimagined. He is a professor the Design Media Arts department at UCLA. His first letter from March 24, 2025 can be found here).